000 WTNT80 EGRR 220417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.11.2015 TROPICAL STORM RICK ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 116.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP212015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.11.2015 17.0N 116.8W WEAK 12UTC 22.11.2015 17.4N 118.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.11.2015 18.2N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.11.2015 19.2N 119.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.11.2015 19.9N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.11.2015 20.4N 120.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.11.2015 20.4N 120.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.11.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 32.9N 77.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.11.2015 32.9N 77.3W WEAK 00UTC 23.11.2015 35.8N 72.9W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 23.11.2015 42.1N 66.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.11.2015 43.3N 62.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.11.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 32.0N 72.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.11.2015 34.3N 69.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.11.2015 43.3N 62.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.11.2015 51.9N 58.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.11.2015 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 9.2N 98.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.11.2015 9.2N 98.4W WEAK 12UTC 24.11.2015 11.4N 100.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.11.2015 12.6N 102.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 25.11.2015 13.6N 104.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 26.11.2015 14.4N 105.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 26.11.2015 15.9N 106.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.11.2015 17.0N 106.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.11.2015 17.9N 107.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.11.2015 18.8N 107.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220417