000 WHXX01 KMIA 191240 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 1240 UTC THU NOV 19 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE TWENTY-ONE (EP212015) 20151119 1200 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151119 1200 151120 0000 151120 1200 151121 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.3N 105.7W 15.4N 106.5W 16.6N 108.0W 18.1N 109.9W BAMD 14.3N 105.7W 15.3N 107.0W 16.6N 108.5W 17.7N 109.5W BAMM 14.3N 105.7W 15.3N 106.9W 16.5N 108.5W 17.9N 110.0W LBAR 14.3N 105.7W 15.1N 106.3W 16.3N 107.5W 17.5N 108.7W SHIP 35KTS 39KTS 41KTS 42KTS DSHP 35KTS 39KTS 41KTS 42KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151121 1200 151122 1200 151123 1200 151124 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.5N 111.3W 22.1N 113.7W 25.3N 114.6W 27.8N 112.4W BAMD 18.6N 110.0W 20.9N 109.7W 25.0N 104.8W 27.7N 92.4W BAMM 18.8N 111.2W 21.2N 113.2W 25.8N 111.4W 28.7N 103.7W LBAR 18.4N 109.3W 20.9N 108.9W 23.6N 106.2W 26.2N 101.1W SHIP 42KTS 35KTS 22KTS 0KTS DSHP 42KTS 35KTS 22KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.3N LONCUR = 105.7W DIRCUR = 0DEG SPDCUR = 5KT LATM12 = 13.1N LONM12 = 106.1W DIRM12 = 51DEG SPDM12 = 6KT LATM24 = 12.5N LONM24 = 107.1W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 200NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 30NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 50NM $$ NNNN