000
WHXX01 KMIA 171252
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1252 UTC TUE NOV 17 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP902015) 20151117 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151117  1200   151118  0000   151118  1200   151119  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.8N 109.1W   13.1N 109.1W   13.0N 109.3W   13.7N 109.7W
BAMD    12.8N 109.1W   13.5N 109.5W   14.0N 109.8W   14.4N 110.2W
BAMM    12.8N 109.1W   13.4N 109.2W   13.7N 109.3W   14.2N 109.7W
LBAR    12.8N 109.1W   13.4N 109.5W   14.2N 109.7W   15.0N 110.0W
SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          38KTS          43KTS
DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          38KTS          43KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151119  1200   151120  1200   151121  1200   151122  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.7N 110.2W   17.0N 113.0W   19.8N 116.5W   23.0N 118.5W
BAMD    14.9N 111.0W   16.8N 113.7W   19.4N 116.0W   25.2N 112.5W
BAMM    14.8N 110.5W   16.8N 113.7W   19.3N 117.5W   23.8N 117.1W
LBAR    16.0N 110.3W   19.8N 111.1W   23.9N 109.5W   27.3N 102.3W
SHIP        47KTS          46KTS          36KTS          23KTS
DSHP        47KTS          46KTS          36KTS          23KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.8N LONCUR = 109.1W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  12.5N LONM12 = 108.2W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  12.3N LONM24 = 107.4W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   15KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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