000 WTNT80 EGRR 151617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 15.11.2015 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.0N 124.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 17.11.2015 11.9N 125.6W WEAK 00UTC 18.11.2015 10.7N 126.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2015 10.6N 125.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.11.2015 10.2N 126.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.11.2015 10.4N 126.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.11.2015 10.4N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2015 10.2N 126.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.11.2015 10.5N 125.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.11.2015 10.9N 125.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 13.7N 109.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 18.11.2015 13.7N 109.5W WEAK 00UTC 19.11.2015 13.8N 109.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.11.2015 15.6N 108.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.11.2015 16.4N 109.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2015 17.2N 109.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 21.11.2015 17.9N 110.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 21.11.2015 18.8N 111.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 9.6N 91.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 21.11.2015 10.0N 92.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 21.11.2015 9.9N 94.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 151617