000 WTNT80 EGRR 141617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 14.11.2015 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 13.8N 126.2W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 16.11.2015 13.5N 125.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2015 13.4N 126.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2015 12.4N 125.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2015 12.1N 126.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2015 10.7N 128.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2015 10.5N 129.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.11.2015 10.2N 130.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 19.11.2015 10.1N 131.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 20.11.2015 9.9N 132.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.2N 117.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 19.11.2015 11.2N 117.0W WEAK 00UTC 20.11.2015 12.2N 116.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2015 13.4N 116.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 8.5N 90.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 20.11.2015 9.1N 90.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 20.11.2015 9.6N 92.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 29.1N 52.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 20.11.2015 29.1N 52.0W MODERATE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 141617