000 WTNT80 EGRR 130417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 13.11.2015 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.3N 124.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.11.2015 12.3N 124.5W WEAK 00UTC 15.11.2015 12.2N 125.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.11.2015 12.6N 125.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.11.2015 13.4N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2015 13.4N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2015 13.2N 124.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 17.11.2015 12.5N 124.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 18.11.2015 12.3N 125.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 18.11.2015 11.9N 126.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 19.11.2015 11.8N 126.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 6.0N 144.0W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 15.11.2015 6.0N 144.0W WEAK 00UTC 16.11.2015 5.9N 145.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.11.2015 5.7N 147.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 17.11.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 130417