000
WTNT80 EGRR 120417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 12.11.2015

        TROPICAL STORM KATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 39.3N  53.9W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 12.11.2015  39.3N  53.9W    STRONG
 12UTC 12.11.2015  41.8N  50.3W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2015  42.0N  48.2W    STRONG    WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 13.11.2015  42.2N  44.3W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.11.2015  43.9N  39.4W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 14.11.2015  48.6N  32.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2015  52.8N  23.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2015  POST-TROPICAL

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 :  9.7N 134.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 14.11.2015   9.3N 134.3W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 14.11.2015   9.2N 134.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2015   9.6N 134.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2015   9.4N 134.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2015   9.5N 135.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2015   9.9N 135.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2015  10.3N 137.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2015  10.6N 139.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2015  10.5N 141.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 13.8N 124.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 15.11.2015  15.1N 123.3W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 16.11.2015  14.8N 123.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.11.2015  14.6N 122.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.11.2015  13.4N 122.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.11.2015  12.8N 122.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.11.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 25.6N 100.0W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 18.11.2015  25.6N 100.0W   MODERATE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 120417