000
WTNT80 EGRR 100417

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 10.11.2015

        TROPICAL STORM KATE       ANALYSED POSITION : 26.5N  76.0W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 10.11.2015  26.5N  76.0W     WEAK
 12UTC 10.11.2015  29.6N  75.0W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 11.11.2015  33.3N  70.4W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 11.11.2015  36.3N  62.6W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.11.2015  38.1N  55.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.11.2015  40.8N  51.5W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 13.11.2015  41.6N  50.9W    STRONG       LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.11.2015  41.5N  48.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.11.2015  45.2N  43.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2015  50.4N  36.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.11.2015  53.6N  30.9W    STRONG   INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 15.11.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 :  9.9N 132.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 13.11.2015  10.5N 132.3W     WEAK    INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
 00UTC 14.11.2015  10.5N 133.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.11.2015  10.5N 134.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.11.2015  10.4N 135.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.11.2015  10.7N 135.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.11.2015  10.4N 138.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 100417