000
WTNT80 EGRR 011617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 01.11.2015

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 27.1N  91.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 02.11.2015  28.9N  91.2W     WEAK      WEAKENING RAPIDLY
 12UTC 02.11.2015  32.0N  89.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 03.11.2015  33.5N  87.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 03.11.2015  33.4N  87.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 04.11.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 35.8N  70.8W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.11.2015  35.8N  69.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 04.11.2015  34.5N  68.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2015  33.8N  65.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  48 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 14.1N 108.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 03.11.2015  14.1N 108.7W     WEAK
 00UTC 04.11.2015  16.3N 108.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2015  18.7N 107.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2015  20.2N 107.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  54 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 11.6N 118.3W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 04.11.2015  12.1N 117.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 04.11.2015  12.5N 115.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 05.11.2015  12.8N 114.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 05.11.2015  12.2N 115.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 06.11.2015  11.4N 116.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 06.11.2015  11.0N 117.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 07.11.2015  10.8N 119.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 07.11.2015   9.8N 119.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 011617