000 WHXX01 KMIA 240040 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0040 UTC SAT OCT 24 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151024 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151024 0000 151024 1200 151025 0000 151025 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 19.6N 104.9W 21.3N 104.2W 22.3N 102.8W 21.9N 102.4W BAMD 19.6N 104.9W 22.9N 103.2W 26.2N 100.4W 29.1N 97.4W BAMM 19.6N 104.9W 22.2N 103.9W 24.2N 101.9W 25.3N 100.2W LBAR 19.6N 104.9W 22.8N 103.5W 26.4N 101.6W 30.2N 99.1W SHIP 140KTS 103KTS 77KTS 53KTS DSHP 140KTS 65KTS 39KTS 31KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151026 0000 151027 0000 151028 0000 151029 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 21.5N 102.6W 22.2N 103.5W 23.5N 103.4W 24.4N 103.6W BAMD 31.9N 94.3W 36.4N 88.3W 41.0N 74.6W 39.9N 53.0W BAMM 25.9N 97.6W 28.3N 91.1W 34.0N 85.6W 42.7N 74.3W LBAR 33.5N 95.8W 36.4N 84.5W 0.0N 0.0W 0.0N 0.0W SHIP 44KTS 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 28KTS 27KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 19.6N LONCUR = 104.9W DIRCUR = 15DEG SPDCUR = 15KT LATM12 = 17.2N LONM12 = 105.6W DIRM12 = 3DEG SPDM12 = 9KT LATM24 = 15.8N LONM24 = 104.9W WNDCUR = 140KT RMAXWD = 10NM WNDM12 = 175KT CENPRS = 924MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 110NM RD34SW = 80NM RD34NW = 120NM $$ NNNN