000
WHXX01 KMIA 231240
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1240 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151023 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151023  1200   151024  0000   151024  1200   151025  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.2N 105.6W   19.3N 105.8W   21.2N 105.1W   22.6N 104.0W
BAMD    17.2N 105.6W   19.8N 105.7W   23.1N 104.0W   26.3N 101.2W
BAMM    17.2N 105.6W   19.8N 105.7W   22.3N 104.3W   24.2N 102.1W
LBAR    17.2N 105.6W   19.3N 105.6W   22.1N 105.2W   25.1N 104.0W
SHIP       175KTS         163KTS         112KTS          73KTS
DSHP       175KTS         138KTS          65KTS          39KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151025  1200   151026  1200   151027  1200   151028  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.8N 103.6W   22.7N 104.8W   24.8N 105.5W   25.9N 102.9W
BAMD    28.9N  98.2W   33.1N  92.5W   36.8N  85.3W   40.1N  72.6W
BAMM    25.2N 100.0W   26.6N  94.9W   29.8N  90.3W   38.1N  84.3W
LBAR    28.1N 101.9W   33.2N  94.6W   35.0N  84.7W   37.0N  76.5W
SHIP        53KTS          34KTS          20KTS           0KTS
DSHP        31KTS          27KTS          27KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.2N LONCUR = 105.6W DIRCUR = 345DEG SPDCUR =   8KT
LATM12 =  15.8N LONM12 = 104.9W DIRM12 = 318DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  14.7N LONM24 = 103.2W
WNDCUR =  175KT RMAXWD =    5NM WNDM12 =  150KT
CENPRS =  880MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW = 130NM
 
$$
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