000
WHXX01 KMIA 230636
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0636 UTC FRI OCT 23 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151023 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151023  0600   151023  1800   151024  0600   151024  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N 105.4W   18.4N 105.3W   20.3N 104.0W   22.0N 102.2W
BAMD    16.5N 105.4W   18.8N 105.7W   21.6N 103.9W   24.7N 100.4W
BAMM    16.5N 105.4W   18.8N 105.7W   21.2N 104.0W   23.4N 101.2W
LBAR    16.5N 105.4W   18.7N 105.5W   21.2N 105.3W   23.9N 104.3W
SHIP       165KTS         175KTS         132KTS          92KTS
DSHP       165KTS         175KTS          99KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151025  0600   151026  0600   151027  0600   151028  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    22.1N 100.7W   21.3N 100.4W   22.1N 100.6W   23.4N  99.5W
BAMD    27.6N  96.9W   34.0N  91.0W   36.8N  83.0W   37.7N  71.4W
BAMM    25.0N  98.4W   28.9N  92.1W   33.3N  89.8W   40.7N  87.0W
LBAR    27.1N 102.4W   32.5N  96.0W   34.4N  86.9W   37.2N  78.7W
SHIP        67KTS          42KTS          29KTS          24KTS
DSHP        34KTS          27KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.5N LONCUR = 105.4W DIRCUR = 330DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  15.1N LONM12 = 104.1W DIRM12 = 304DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  14.0N LONM24 = 101.7W
WNDCUR =  165KT RMAXWD =    5NM WNDM12 =  115KT
CENPRS =  886MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =   60NM RD34NW = 130NM
 
$$
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