000
WHXX01 KMIA 221832
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1832 UTC THU OCT 22 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151022  1800   151023  0600   151023  1800   151024  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.1N 104.1W   16.3N 105.9W   17.6N 107.1W   19.1N 107.3W
BAMD    15.1N 104.1W   16.4N 105.8W   18.0N 107.0W   20.0N 107.4W
BAMM    15.1N 104.1W   16.3N 105.9W   17.7N 107.2W   19.4N 107.2W
LBAR    15.1N 104.1W   16.7N 105.4W   18.7N 106.5W   20.9N 107.0W
SHIP       115KTS         139KTS         140KTS         118KTS
DSHP       115KTS         139KTS         140KTS          88KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151024  1800   151025  1800   151026  1800   151027  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    21.0N 105.9W   22.1N 105.1W   23.3N 107.1W   25.4N 108.7W
BAMD    22.8N 106.1W   27.0N 101.6W   30.8N  96.0W   38.0N  91.0W
BAMM    21.6N 105.2W   23.9N 100.6W   26.8N  94.7W   33.2N  90.3W
LBAR    23.6N 106.6W   28.8N 102.4W   32.1N  94.9W   36.2N  85.8W
SHIP        85KTS          62KTS          44KTS          35KTS
DSHP        47KTS          29KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  15.1N LONCUR = 104.1W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  12KT
LATM12 =  14.0N LONM12 = 101.7W DIRM12 = 294DEG SPDM12 =  16KT
LATM24 =  13.1N LONM24 =  98.7W
WNDCUR =  115KT RMAXWD =   10NM WNDM12 =   75KT
CENPRS =  958MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  150NM RD34SE =   90NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW = 100NM
 
$$
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