000
WHXX01 KMIA 221250
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1250 UTC THU OCT 22 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151022  1200   151023  0000   151023  1200   151024  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.7N 103.2W   15.8N 105.2W   16.8N 106.5W   18.2N 106.9W
BAMD    14.7N 103.2W   15.9N 105.1W   17.3N 106.6W   18.9N 107.5W
BAMM    14.7N 103.2W   15.9N 105.0W   17.3N 106.2W   19.2N 106.3W
LBAR    14.7N 103.2W   16.3N 105.2W   18.4N 106.6W   20.9N 107.4W
SHIP        80KTS          99KTS         110KTS         107KTS
DSHP        80KTS          99KTS         110KTS         107KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151024  1200   151025  1200   151026  1200   151027  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    20.0N 106.3W   21.9N 105.1W   22.9N 107.3W   25.6N 109.0W
BAMD    21.4N 106.9W   26.2N 102.7W   29.8N  96.5W   35.7N  92.9W
BAMM    21.2N 105.0W   23.7N 100.6W   25.3N  95.4W   30.1N  90.4W
LBAR    23.6N 107.0W   28.6N 102.0W   31.4N  94.6W   34.4N  88.3W
SHIP        79KTS          56KTS          39KTS          30KTS
DSHP        61KTS          30KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.7N LONCUR = 103.2W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  16KT
LATM12 =  13.4N LONM12 = 100.1W DIRM12 = 287DEG SPDM12 =  15KT
LATM24 =  12.9N LONM24 =  97.4W
WNDCUR =   80KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   55KT
CENPRS =  975MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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