000
WHXX01 KMIA 220644
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0644 UTC THU OCT 22 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151022  0600   151022  1800   151023  0600   151023  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.0N 101.7W   15.2N 103.6W   16.4N 105.0W   17.9N 105.8W
BAMD    14.0N 101.7W   15.2N 103.6W   16.8N 105.0W   18.9N 105.8W
BAMM    14.0N 101.7W   15.2N 103.6W   16.5N 105.1W   18.3N 106.0W
LBAR    14.0N 101.7W   15.6N 103.6W   17.2N 105.3W   19.3N 106.3W
SHIP        70KTS          89KTS         104KTS         112KTS
DSHP        70KTS          89KTS         104KTS         112KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151024  0600   151025  0600   151026  0600   151027  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.5N 105.9W   22.2N 104.2W   22.0N 104.6W   23.6N 105.6W
BAMD    21.4N 105.8W   26.7N 101.9W   29.3N  96.4W   33.7N  91.4W
BAMM    20.2N 106.1W   23.4N 103.3W   24.3N 100.0W   26.7N  95.1W
LBAR    21.7N 106.7W   27.2N 103.6W   31.2N  97.1W   34.1N  90.4W
SHIP       101KTS          65KTS          51KTS          43KTS
DSHP        86KTS          34KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.0N LONCUR = 101.7W DIRCUR = 295DEG SPDCUR =  15KT
LATM12 =  13.1N LONM12 =  98.7W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  12.9N LONM24 =  96.3W
WNDCUR =   70KT RMAXWD =   20NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS =  985MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  140NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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