000 WHXX01 KMIA 220031 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0031 UTC THU OCT 22 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151022 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151022 0000 151022 1200 151023 0000 151023 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.3N 99.9W 14.3N 101.6W 15.6N 103.1W 17.0N 104.0W BAMD 13.3N 99.9W 14.0N 101.9W 15.3N 103.5W 17.0N 104.4W BAMM 13.3N 99.9W 14.0N 102.1W 15.0N 103.8W 16.2N 104.9W LBAR 13.3N 99.9W 14.4N 102.2W 15.6N 104.1W 17.2N 105.9W SHIP 55KTS 69KTS 84KTS 93KTS DSHP 55KTS 69KTS 84KTS 93KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151024 0000 151025 0000 151026 0000 151027 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.8N 104.2W 22.3N 103.5W 22.4N 103.8W 23.7N 105.0W BAMD 19.4N 104.7W 25.2N 100.9W 29.3N 94.0W 32.3N 88.0W BAMM 18.0N 105.0W 21.3N 102.6W 22.5N 100.3W 23.6N 97.1W LBAR 18.9N 107.0W 23.9N 106.6W 29.0N 102.6W 32.0N 95.1W SHIP 92KTS 72KTS 62KTS 55KTS DSHP 92KTS 35KTS 28KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.3N LONCUR = 99.9W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 13KT LATM12 = 12.9N LONM12 = 97.4W DIRM12 = 273DEG SPDM12 = 11KT LATM24 = 13.1N LONM24 = 95.1W WNDCUR = 55KT RMAXWD = 20NM WNDM12 = 40KT CENPRS = 994MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 100NM RD34SW = 40NM RD34NW = 80NM $$ NNNN