000
WHXX01 KMIA 211954
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1954 UTC WED OCT 21 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151021 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151021  1800   151022  0600   151022  1800   151023  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.0N  98.6W   13.8N 100.5W   15.1N 102.3W   16.4N 103.6W
BAMD    13.0N  98.6W   13.6N 100.8W   14.6N 102.6W   16.1N 103.9W
BAMM    13.0N  98.6W   13.7N 100.9W   14.7N 102.9W   15.9N 104.4W
LBAR    13.0N  98.6W   13.7N 100.8W   14.7N 103.2W   15.9N 105.2W
SHIP        40KTS          50KTS          65KTS          80KTS
DSHP        40KTS          50KTS          65KTS          80KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151023  1800   151024  1800   151025  1800   151026  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.1N 104.3W   21.7N 103.7W   22.2N 104.1W   23.3N 105.2W
BAMD    18.3N 104.6W   23.8N 101.9W   27.2N  95.8W   28.8N  88.2W
BAMM    17.5N 105.0W   21.5N 103.2W   23.4N 101.3W   25.2N  98.4W
LBAR    17.5N 106.7W   22.1N 107.5W   27.8N 105.7W   31.9N  99.7W
SHIP        80KTS          57KTS          51KTS          49KTS
DSHP        80KTS          35KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.0N LONCUR =  98.6W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  13KT
LATM12 =  13.0N LONM12 =  95.8W DIRM12 = 262DEG SPDM12 =  10KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 =  94.6W
WNDCUR =   40KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS =  999MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   80NM RD34SE =  100NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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