000
WHXX01 KMIA 211241
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1241 UTC WED OCT 21 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151021 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151021  1200   151022  0000   151022  1200   151023  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.9N  96.9W   13.6N  98.7W   14.9N 100.4W   16.6N 102.2W
BAMD    12.9N  96.9W   13.3N  99.0W   14.3N 101.1W   15.8N 102.7W
BAMM    12.9N  96.9W   13.6N  99.2W   14.5N 101.4W   15.9N 103.3W
LBAR    12.9N  96.9W   13.2N  99.0W   14.1N 101.2W   15.0N 103.3W
SHIP        35KTS          43KTS          55KTS          70KTS
DSHP        35KTS          43KTS          55KTS          70KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151023  1200   151024  1200   151025  1200   151026  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    18.3N 103.6W   21.7N 104.9W   22.8N 105.3W   23.8N 107.5W
BAMD    17.9N 103.8W   23.8N 103.0W   28.7N  96.9W   31.5N  90.2W
BAMM    17.5N 104.7W   21.3N 104.7W   23.1N 103.0W   24.1N 101.8W
LBAR    16.2N 105.2W   19.7N 107.0W   25.0N 106.5W   30.2N 103.8W
SHIP        76KTS          59KTS          47KTS          45KTS
DSHP        76KTS          39KTS          28KTS          27KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.9N LONCUR =  96.9W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  13.1N LONM12 =  95.1W DIRM12 = 256DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  13.3N LONM24 =  94.2W
WNDCUR =   35KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   35KT
CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1008MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   60NM RD34SE =  120NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM
 
$$
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