000 WHXX01 KMIA 210627 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0627 UTC WED OCT 21 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE PATRICIA (EP202015) 20151021 0600 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151021 0600 151021 1800 151022 0600 151022 1800 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 13.0N 95.7W 13.1N 97.4W 14.2N 99.2W 15.7N 101.0W BAMD 13.0N 95.7W 13.3N 97.4W 14.2N 99.2W 15.6N 100.8W BAMM 13.0N 95.7W 13.2N 97.8W 14.0N 100.0W 15.1N 102.0W LBAR 13.0N 95.7W 13.1N 97.3W 13.5N 99.1W 14.5N 101.1W SHIP 35KTS 41KTS 54KTS 67KTS DSHP 35KTS 41KTS 54KTS 67KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151023 0600 151024 0600 151025 0600 151026 0600 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 17.2N 102.5W 20.3N 104.3W 21.9N 104.1W 21.7N 106.3W BAMD 17.7N 102.0W 23.6N 102.3W 30.1N 96.7W 34.3N 89.0W BAMM 16.4N 103.6W 19.7N 104.5W 21.9N 102.6W 22.3N 102.4W LBAR 15.3N 102.9W 17.9N 105.5W 21.3N 106.2W 25.5N 105.9W SHIP 72KTS 57KTS 41KTS 38KTS DSHP 72KTS 48KTS 29KTS 27KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 13.0N LONCUR = 95.7W DIRCUR = 260DEG SPDCUR = 6KT LATM12 = 13.3N LONM12 = 94.6W DIRM12 = 257DEG SPDM12 = 4KT LATM24 = 13.3N LONM24 = 93.9W WNDCUR = 35KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 30KT CENPRS = 1004MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = M RD34NE = 60NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 60NM $$ NNNN