000
WHXX01 KMIA 191842
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1842 UTC MON OCT 19 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE OLAF (EP192015) 20151019 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151019  1800   151020  0600   151020  1800   151021  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.0N 138.2W   10.7N 140.1W   11.3N 141.9W   11.8N 143.4W
BAMD    10.0N 138.2W   10.4N 139.8W   11.0N 141.5W   11.7N 143.1W
BAMM    10.0N 138.2W   10.4N 140.1W   11.0N 141.6W   11.8N 143.0W
LBAR    10.0N 138.2W   10.7N 140.0W   11.7N 142.0W   13.2N 143.9W
SHIP       115KTS         130KTS         139KTS         140KTS
DSHP       115KTS         130KTS         139KTS         140KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151021  1800   151022  1800   151023  1800   151024  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.6N 144.3W   15.3N 145.4W   18.0N 147.4W   19.5N 148.1W
BAMD    12.6N 144.5W   14.7N 146.5W   18.2N 147.7W   21.8N 147.0W
BAMM    12.8N 144.2W   15.4N 145.9W   18.6N 147.7W   21.0N 147.9W
LBAR    14.6N 145.6W   17.6N 148.2W   20.3N 149.0W   23.6N 147.4W
SHIP       134KTS         122KTS         107KTS          87KTS
DSHP       134KTS         122KTS         107KTS          87KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.0N LONCUR = 138.2W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =  10KT
LATM12 =   9.9N LONM12 = 136.0W DIRM12 = 278DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =   9.5N LONM24 = 133.9W
WNDCUR =  115KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   85KT
CENPRS =  954MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  270NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =  120NM RD34SW =   50NM RD34NW =  70NM
 
$$
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