000
WHXX01 KMIA 191820
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1820 UTC MON OCT 19 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972015) 20151019 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151019  1800   151020  0600   151020  1800   151021  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N  93.3W   13.4N  93.8W   13.4N  94.7W   13.7N  95.7W
BAMD    13.3N  93.3W   13.4N  93.7W   13.5N  94.5W   13.6N  95.9W
BAMM    13.3N  93.3W   13.5N  93.5W   13.5N  94.2W   13.7N  95.5W
LBAR    13.3N  93.3W   13.4N  93.6W   13.7N  94.6W   13.9N  96.2W
SHIP        30KTS          35KTS          40KTS          48KTS
DSHP        30KTS          35KTS          40KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151021  1800   151022  1800   151023  1800   151024  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.4N  96.9W   17.0N  99.9W   20.7N 101.3W   23.8N 100.8W
BAMD    14.3N  97.5W   17.2N 100.7W   22.2N 101.6W   27.8N  98.4W
BAMM    14.3N  97.2W   16.6N 101.0W   19.9N 102.5W   23.0N 101.1W
LBAR    14.5N  98.3W   16.9N 102.4W   20.9N 104.0W   27.1N 103.0W
SHIP        60KTS          73KTS          56KTS          48KTS
DSHP        60KTS          73KTS          37KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.3N LONCUR =  93.3W DIRCUR =  20DEG SPDCUR =   2KT
LATM12 =  12.5N LONM12 =  93.9W DIRM12 =  51DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  12.0N LONM24 =  95.1W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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