000
WHXX01 KMIA 191320
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1320 UTC MON OCT 19 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972015) 20151019 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151019  1200   151020  0000   151020  1200   151021  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.1N  94.3W   13.1N  95.1W   13.0N  96.0W   13.0N  97.1W
BAMD    13.1N  94.3W   13.1N  94.9W   13.1N  95.8W   13.0N  97.1W
BAMM    13.1N  94.3W   13.2N  94.7W   13.2N  95.5W   13.1N  96.8W
LBAR    13.1N  94.3W   13.5N  95.1W   13.8N  96.2W   14.0N  97.6W
SHIP        30KTS          34KTS          39KTS          50KTS
DSHP        30KTS          34KTS          39KTS          50KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151021  1200   151022  1200   151023  1200   151024  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    13.3N  98.4W   14.6N 101.2W   17.2N 103.3W   20.8N 102.8W
BAMD    13.1N  98.6W   14.4N 102.2W   17.0N 104.9W   21.8N 104.3W
BAMM    13.3N  98.4W   14.3N 101.9W   16.3N 104.5W   19.8N 104.3W
LBAR    14.5N  99.5W   16.5N 103.6W   20.0N 105.3W   25.9N 104.6W
SHIP        61KTS          85KTS          84KTS          55KTS
DSHP        61KTS          85KTS          84KTS          44KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  13.1N LONCUR =  94.3W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  12.0N LONM12 =  93.7W DIRM12 = 331DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  11.6N LONM24 =  93.5W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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