000
WHXX01 KMIA 190650
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0650 UTC MON OCT 19 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972015) 20151019 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151019  0600   151019  1800   151020  0600   151020  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.5N  95.4W   12.4N  96.2W   12.3N  97.1W   12.2N  98.2W
BAMD    12.5N  95.4W   12.6N  95.9W   12.5N  96.5W   12.3N  97.5W
BAMM    12.5N  95.4W   12.6N  95.7W   12.6N  96.4W   12.5N  97.3W
LBAR    12.5N  95.4W   12.9N  95.8W   13.1N  96.7W   13.3N  97.9W
SHIP        30KTS          34KTS          39KTS          48KTS
DSHP        30KTS          34KTS          39KTS          48KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151021  0600   151022  0600   151023  0600   151024  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.4N  99.2W   13.5N 101.5W   16.2N 103.4W   19.9N 102.4W
BAMD    12.2N  98.7W   13.3N 101.6W   16.4N 103.8W   21.5N 103.3W
BAMM    12.5N  98.7W   13.4N 101.9W   15.5N 104.4W   19.7N 103.3W
LBAR    13.7N  99.5W   15.1N 103.4W   17.8N 105.7W   22.8N 105.7W
SHIP        60KTS          86KTS          95KTS          59KTS
DSHP        60KTS          86KTS          95KTS          50KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.5N LONCUR =  95.4W DIRCUR = 320DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  12.0N LONM12 =  95.1W DIRM12 = 297DEG SPDM12 =   2KT
LATM24 =  11.8N LONM24 =  94.7W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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