000
WHXX01 KMIA 181814
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1814 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972015) 20151018 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151018  1800   151019  0600   151019  1800   151020  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.0N  95.3W   12.1N  95.8W   11.9N  96.6W   11.9N  97.4W
BAMD    12.0N  95.3W   12.2N  95.8W   12.2N  96.3W   12.0N  96.9W
BAMM    12.0N  95.3W   12.6N  95.7W   12.7N  96.1W   12.8N  96.7W
LBAR    12.0N  95.3W   12.6N  95.9W   13.1N  96.7W   13.5N  97.7W
SHIP        30KTS          39KTS          47KTS          56KTS
DSHP        30KTS          39KTS          47KTS          56KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151020  1800   151021  1800   151022  1800   151023  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    11.9N  98.3W   12.8N 100.0W   15.2N 101.1W   18.4N 100.1W
BAMD    11.8N  97.6W   12.4N  99.5W   15.7N 100.6W   20.4N  98.4W
BAMM    12.8N  97.5W   13.7N  99.9W   16.0N 101.7W   19.2N 100.5W
LBAR    13.9N  99.0W   15.3N 102.6W   18.0N 104.9W   23.9N 104.5W
SHIP        63KTS          83KTS          68KTS          61KTS
DSHP        63KTS          83KTS          68KTS          38KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.0N LONCUR =  95.3W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  11.8N LONM12 =  94.8W DIRM12 = 292DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  11.6N LONM24 =  94.3W
WNDCUR =   30KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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