000
WHXX01 KMIA 181614
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1614 UTC SUN OCT 18 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972015) 20151018 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151018  1200   151019  0000   151019  1200   151020  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.3N  95.9W   12.4N  96.7W   12.3N  97.9W   12.2N  99.2W
BAMD    12.3N  95.9W   12.5N  96.9W   12.3N  97.8W   11.9N  98.9W
BAMM    12.3N  95.9W   12.7N  96.5W   12.7N  97.1W   12.6N  97.8W
LBAR    12.3N  95.9W   13.0N  96.6W   13.7N  97.4W   14.1N  98.2W
SHIP        25KTS          31KTS          38KTS          45KTS
DSHP        25KTS          31KTS          38KTS          45KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151020  1200   151021  1200   151022  1200   151023  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.0N 100.6W   12.0N 102.3W   13.6N 102.9W   17.4N 100.7W
BAMD    11.3N 100.0W    9.9N 102.2W   10.1N 102.4W   12.4N 101.4W
BAMM    12.3N  98.7W   12.1N 100.7W   14.0N 101.8W   18.8N 100.6W
LBAR    14.5N  99.3W   15.5N 102.5W   18.0N 104.6W   23.7N 104.6W
SHIP        53KTS          77KTS          81KTS          51KTS
DSHP        53KTS          77KTS          81KTS          44KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.3N LONCUR =  95.9W DIRCUR = 290DEG SPDCUR =   4KT
LATM12 =  12.1N LONM12 =  95.4W DIRM12 = 292DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  11.9N LONM24 =  94.9W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =  120NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  130NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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