000
WHXX01 KMIA 171834
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1834 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP972015) 20151017 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151017  1800   151018  0600   151018  1800   151019  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.8N  93.5W   12.9N  93.8W   13.0N  94.2W   13.0N  94.4W
BAMD    12.8N  93.5W   13.6N  94.4W   14.1N  95.1W   14.1N  95.8W
BAMM    12.8N  93.5W   13.3N  94.1W   13.8N  94.6W   13.8N  94.9W
LBAR    12.8N  93.5W   13.6N  94.4W   14.8N  95.4W   15.6N  96.1W
SHIP        20KTS          24KTS          31KTS          39KTS
DSHP        20KTS          24KTS          31KTS          39KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151019  1800   151020  1800   151021  1800   151022  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    12.7N  94.9W   12.7N  96.4W   15.2N  97.2W   18.9N  97.6W
BAMD    13.7N  96.7W   13.6N  98.8W   14.9N 100.1W   18.1N 100.1W
BAMM    13.6N  95.4W   13.8N  96.9W   16.0N  98.2W   19.6N  98.6W
LBAR    16.1N  96.9W   16.6N  99.3W   18.3N 102.6W   22.5N 103.6W
SHIP        49KTS          61KTS          58KTS          45KTS
DSHP        49KTS          61KTS          58KTS          30KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  12.8N LONCUR =  93.5W DIRCUR = 275DEG SPDCUR =   7KT
LATM12 =  12.7N LONM12 =  92.1W DIRM12 = 274DEG SPDM12 =   7KT
LATM24 =  12.5N LONM24 =  89.9W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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