000
WHXX01 KWBC 171820
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1820 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922015) 20151017 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151017  1800   151018  0600   151018  1800   151019  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.8N  89.5W   18.1N  91.2W   17.8N  93.2W   17.0N  95.2W
BAMD    17.8N  89.5W   18.8N  90.8W   19.4N  91.8W   19.6N  92.5W
BAMM    17.8N  89.5W   18.5N  91.0W   18.6N  92.3W   18.0N  93.8W
LBAR    17.8N  89.5W   18.7N  90.1W   19.9N  90.4W   20.5N  90.6W
SHIP        25KTS          27KTS          27KTS          28KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          30KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151019  1800   151020  1800   151021  1800   151022  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    15.9N  97.4W   14.1N 100.4W   13.9N 100.8W   16.0N  99.8W
BAMD    19.6N  93.5W   20.3N  96.3W   23.5N  99.8W   30.1N 103.7W
BAMM    17.2N  95.8W   15.8N  99.8W   15.6N 101.3W   17.2N 101.1W
LBAR    21.1N  90.7W   22.5N  91.9W   24.9N  93.6W   27.7N  94.7W
SHIP        26KTS          24KTS          27KTS          31KTS
DSHP        27KTS          29KTS          32KTS          36KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.8N LONCUR =  89.5W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  17.2N LONM12 =  88.6W DIRM12 = 298DEG SPDM12 =   4KT
LATM24 =  16.7N LONM24 =  87.5W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =  120NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
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