000
WHXX01 KWBC 171536
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1536 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922015) 20151017 1200 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151017  1200   151018  0000   151018  1200   151019  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.6N  88.9W   18.3N  90.6W   18.4N  92.5W   18.0N  94.3W
BAMD    17.6N  88.9W   18.7N  90.1W   19.7N  91.0W   20.4N  91.4W
BAMM    17.6N  88.9W   18.4N  90.5W   18.9N  91.9W   18.9N  93.2W
LBAR    17.6N  88.9W   18.6N  89.8W   19.9N  90.3W   20.8N  90.4W
SHIP        25KTS          27KTS          29KTS          29KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          30KTS          30KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151019  1200   151020  1200   151021  1200   151022  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.3N  96.4W   15.9N 100.4W   15.1N 102.7W   16.2N 101.7W
BAMD    20.6N  91.7W   21.1N  92.8W   23.1N  94.7W   27.8N  96.8W
BAMM    18.5N  94.8W   17.7N  98.9W   17.9N 102.5W   19.2N 104.0W
LBAR    21.3N  90.4W   22.7N  90.9W   24.8N  91.9W   27.1N  93.1W
SHIP        28KTS          23KTS          20KTS          23KTS
DSHP        26KTS          27KTS          30KTS          28KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  17.6N LONCUR =  88.9W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  17.0N LONM12 =  88.2W DIRM12 = 300DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  16.4N LONM24 =  86.8W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   75NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  175NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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