000
WHXX01 KWBC 170038
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0038 UTC SAT OCT 17 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922015) 20151017 0000 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151017  0000   151017  1200   151018  0000   151018  1200
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.7N  88.2W   17.2N  90.0W   17.4N  91.6W   17.2N  93.2W
BAMD    16.7N  88.2W   17.5N  89.8W   18.3N  91.3W   19.1N  92.5W
BAMM    16.7N  88.2W   17.3N  89.9W   17.8N  91.6W   18.1N  93.0W
LBAR    16.7N  88.2W   17.6N  89.4W   18.9N  90.3W   20.0N  90.7W
SHIP        20KTS          22KTS          27KTS          28KTS
DSHP        20KTS          23KTS          26KTS          26KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151019  0000   151020  0000   151021  0000   151022  0000
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.8N  94.9W   15.5N  98.8W   14.4N 102.5W   13.3N 104.6W
BAMD    19.5N  93.3W   19.7N  95.2W   20.5N  97.7W   23.5N 101.5W
BAMM    18.1N  94.3W   17.3N  97.8W   17.0N 101.7W   16.9N 105.0W
LBAR    20.9N  90.7W   22.0N  90.6W   23.3N  91.3W   24.9N  92.6W
SHIP        29KTS          26KTS          25KTS          25KTS
DSHP        26KTS          27KTS          30KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.7N LONCUR =  88.2W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  16.4N LONM12 =  87.0W DIRM12 = 284DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  16.1N LONM24 =  85.4W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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