000
WHXX01 KWBC 161820
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1820 UTC FRI OCT 16 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL922015) 20151016 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151016  1800   151017  0600   151017  1800   151018  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N  87.5W   17.0N  89.4W   17.1N  91.3W   16.9N  92.9W
BAMD    16.5N  87.5W   17.3N  89.1W   18.0N  90.7W   18.7N  92.1W
BAMM    16.5N  87.5W   17.1N  89.3W   17.5N  91.0W   17.8N  92.6W
LBAR    16.5N  87.5W   17.3N  88.6W   18.5N  89.5W   19.9N  90.0W
SHIP        20KTS          22KTS          26KTS          28KTS
DSHP        20KTS          22KTS          25KTS          26KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151018  1800   151019  1800   151020  1800   151021  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.5N  94.7W   15.3N  98.5W   14.3N 102.3W   13.4N 104.8W
BAMD    19.3N  93.1W   19.7N  95.2W   20.2N  97.5W   22.0N 100.6W
BAMM    17.8N  94.1W   17.3N  97.5W   16.9N 101.5W   16.7N 105.2W
LBAR    21.0N  89.8W   22.1N  89.1W   23.4N  89.3W   24.5N  90.0W
SHIP        29KTS          25KTS          26KTS          26KTS
DSHP        26KTS          27KTS          30KTS          29KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.5N LONCUR =  87.5W DIRCUR = 280DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  16.2N LONM12 =  86.2W DIRM12 = 281DEG SPDM12 =   8KT
LATM24 =  15.8N LONM24 =  84.1W
WNDCUR =   20KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1008MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  150NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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