000
WHXX01 KMIA 141840
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1840 UTC WED OCT 14 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP962015) 20151014 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151014  1800   151015  0600   151015  1800   151016  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    10.0N 115.2W   10.2N 118.3W   10.1N 121.2W    9.9N 124.1W
BAMD    10.0N 115.2W    9.9N 118.5W    9.8N 121.6W    9.7N 124.4W
BAMM    10.0N 115.2W   10.2N 118.6W   10.1N 121.8W   10.0N 124.8W
LBAR    10.0N 115.2W   10.1N 117.8W   10.2N 120.7W   10.3N 123.6W
SHIP        25KTS          32KTS          44KTS          58KTS
DSHP        25KTS          32KTS          44KTS          58KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151016  1800   151017  1800   151018  1800   151019  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     9.9N 127.0W    9.6N 131.6W    9.9N 134.5W   11.2N 135.9W
BAMD     9.5N 126.9W    9.0N 131.2W    8.8N 133.8W    9.9N 134.4W
BAMM     9.6N 127.6W    8.7N 132.2W    8.3N 134.3W   10.1N 134.3W
LBAR    10.4N 126.2W   10.1N 130.7W   10.3N 133.8W   11.9N 135.7W
SHIP        70KTS          91KTS         100KTS         108KTS
DSHP        70KTS          91KTS         100KTS         108KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  10.0N LONCUR = 115.2W DIRCUR = 265DEG SPDCUR =  14KT
LATM12 =  10.3N LONM12 = 112.2W DIRM12 = 268DEG SPDM12 =  14KT
LATM24 =  10.4N LONM24 = 109.6W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   70NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1007MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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