000
WHXX01 KMIA 110705
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0705 UTC SUN OCT 11 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP962015) 20151011 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151011  0600   151011  1800   151012  0600   151012  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     7.8N  98.7W    8.0N 100.8W    8.3N 103.2W    8.7N 105.8W
BAMD     7.8N  98.7W    7.9N 100.5W    8.1N 102.2W    8.4N 104.1W
BAMM     7.8N  98.7W    8.1N 100.6W    8.3N 102.5W    8.6N 104.7W
LBAR     7.8N  98.7W    7.8N 100.8W    7.7N 103.3W    7.8N 105.7W
SHIP        25KTS          30KTS          36KTS          42KTS
DSHP        25KTS          30KTS          36KTS          42KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151013  0600   151014  0600   151015  0600   151016  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS     8.8N 108.5W    8.6N 114.2W    7.6N 119.7W    7.6N 123.6W
BAMD     8.9N 106.0W    9.8N 110.3W   10.9N 115.0W   12.2N 119.9W
BAMM     8.9N 107.0W    9.5N 112.2W    9.9N 118.1W   10.1N 124.0W
LBAR     8.0N 108.4W    8.1N 113.8W    8.5N 118.8W    9.3N 123.4W
SHIP        49KTS          62KTS          73KTS          88KTS
DSHP        49KTS          62KTS          73KTS          88KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =   7.8N LONCUR =  98.7W DIRCUR = 270DEG SPDCUR =  11KT
LATM12 =   7.8N LONM12 =  96.5W DIRM12 = 268DEG SPDM12 =  11KT
LATM24 =   8.0N LONM24 =  94.3W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   80NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1009MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD =  200NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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