000
WTNT80 EGRR 110418

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 11.10.2015

        TROPICAL STORM NORA       ANALYSED POSITION : 11.7N 139.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 11.10.2015  11.7N 139.2W     WEAK
 12UTC 11.10.2015  12.0N 141.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 12.10.2015  12.7N 142.5W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 12.10.2015  13.2N 143.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2015  14.0N 144.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 13.10.2015  14.6N 144.6W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 14.10.2015  15.6N 144.7W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 14.10.2015  16.3N 144.4W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2015  16.9N 144.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2015  17.5N 143.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2015  17.7N 143.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2015  17.5N 143.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2015  16.9N 144.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER   6 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+  6 : 30.8N  75.2W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 11.10.2015  31.6N  73.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 12.10.2015  33.1N  72.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 12.10.2015  35.5N  70.0W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 13.10.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  78 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 12.0N 115.1W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.10.2015  11.8N 116.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 15.10.2015  12.3N 118.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.10.2015  12.5N 121.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.10.2015  13.1N 123.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.10.2015  13.9N 125.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.10.2015  14.5N 128.5W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 110418