000 WTNT80 EGRR 101617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 10.10.2015 TROPICAL STORM NORA ANALYSED POSITION : 11.3N 136.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2015 11.3N 136.6W WEAK 00UTC 11.10.2015 11.4N 139.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2015 11.6N 140.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2015 11.9N 142.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2015 12.2N 143.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 12.7N 143.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 13.2N 143.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2015 14.1N 143.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2015 15.1N 142.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2015 16.1N 141.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.10.2015 16.8N 140.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 16.10.2015 17.2N 140.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 16.10.2015 17.0N 140.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 30.6N 75.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2015 31.5N 74.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2015 32.7N 72.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2015 34.8N 70.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 32.5N 18.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 16.10.2015 32.5N 18.7W MODERATE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 101617