000 WTNT80 EGRR 090417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.10.2015 NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 11.2N 139.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 12.10.2015 11.3N 140.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 12.10.2015 11.6N 141.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 12.9N 141.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 13.0N 142.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2015 13.8N 142.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2015 14.5N 142.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2015 15.7N 141.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 10.9N 103.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2015 11.0N 105.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 11.5N 107.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 12.2N 110.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.10.2015 12.4N 113.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.10.2015 12.8N 115.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.10.2015 13.1N 118.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 18.3N 100.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.10.2015 18.3N 100.6W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090417