000 WTNT80 EGRR 071617 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 07.10.2015 TROPICAL STORM JOAQUIN ANALYSED POSITION : 41.1N 47.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2015 41.1N 47.2W STRONG 00UTC 08.10.2015 41.7N 38.9W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2015 42.3N 31.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2015 43.0N 24.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2015 44.5N 20.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2015 44.5N 17.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2015 44.5N 14.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2015 44.8N 11.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2015 44.7N 9.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2015 43.3N 9.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2015 41.2N 9.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 38.4N 9.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 36.7N 7.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE OHO ANALYSED POSITION : 21.2N 147.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP072015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.10.2015 21.2N 147.2W INTENSE 00UTC 08.10.2015 28.6N 145.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2015 34.0N 142.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2015 41.6N 136.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2015 52.1N 134.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2015 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 30.0N 77.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2015 31.4N 76.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 13.10.2015 33.5N 76.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 35.1N 74.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 12.5N 136.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2015 12.5N 136.6W WEAK 00UTC 13.10.2015 13.7N 137.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2015 14.8N 138.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 071617