000 WTNT80 EGRR 070417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 07.10.2015 HURRICANE JOAQUIN ANALYSED POSITION : 39.8N 54.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2015 39.8N 54.6W STRONG 12UTC 07.10.2015 41.1N 47.3W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.10.2015 41.7N 38.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2015 42.5N 30.7W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2015 44.0N 23.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2015 44.5N 18.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2015 45.6N 14.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 10.10.2015 46.1N 10.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.10.2015 46.0N 7.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2015 46.3N 3.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE OHO ANALYSED POSITION : 16.9N 149.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP072015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.10.2015 16.9N 149.8W INTENSE 12UTC 07.10.2015 21.2N 147.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2015 28.1N 146.1W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2015 33.1N 143.5W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2015 40.5N 137.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2015 51.2N 133.7W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2015 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 11.6N 137.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 12.10.2015 12.3N 138.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2015 13.8N 139.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 31.3N 78.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 13.10.2015 32.1N 78.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070417