000
WHXX01 KMIA 041915
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1915 UTC SUN OCT 4 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP942015) 20151004 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151004  1800   151005  0600   151005  1800   151006  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.7N 122.5W   15.6N 122.1W   16.8N 122.5W   18.0N 123.4W
BAMD    14.7N 122.5W   14.1N 122.3W   14.0N 122.3W   14.3N 122.7W
BAMM    14.7N 122.5W   14.6N 122.4W   15.0N 122.5W   15.5N 123.0W
LBAR    14.7N 122.5W   15.0N 122.0W   16.1N 121.6W   17.7N 121.4W
SHIP        25KTS          22KTS          19KTS          16KTS
DSHP        25KTS          22KTS          19KTS          16KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151006  1800   151007  1800   151008  1800   151009  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.2N 124.8W   21.6N 127.9W   23.6N 130.5W   25.0N 132.8W
BAMD    14.9N 123.5W   16.2N 125.6W   16.5N 129.7W   16.8N 136.3W
BAMM    16.2N 124.1W   18.0N 126.8W   19.6N 130.3W   21.2N 134.5W
LBAR    19.9N 121.0W   25.0N 119.9W   26.6N 117.9W   25.1N 117.1W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.7N LONCUR = 122.5W DIRCUR =  30DEG SPDCUR =   3KT
LATM12 =  14.4N LONM12 = 122.8W DIRM12 =  18DEG SPDM12 =   3KT
LATM24 =  13.9N LONM24 = 124.0W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   20KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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