000 WHXX01 KMIA 040053 CHGE77 TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 0053 UTC SUN OCT 4 2015 DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS. PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION. EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP942015) 20151004 0000 UTC ...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS... 151004 0000 151004 1200 151005 0000 151005 1200 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 14.0N 122.9W 14.6N 121.8W 15.3N 120.5W 16.5N 119.7W BAMD 14.0N 122.9W 13.3N 122.2W 13.3N 121.4W 13.6N 121.2W BAMM 14.0N 122.9W 13.7N 122.5W 13.7N 122.3W 14.1N 122.4W LBAR 14.0N 122.9W 14.0N 121.6W 14.8N 120.3W 16.5N 119.3W SHIP 25KTS 22KTS 17KTS 15KTS DSHP 25KTS 22KTS 17KTS 15KTS ...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS... 151006 0000 151007 0000 151008 0000 151009 0000 LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON BAMS 18.2N 119.2W 21.5N 118.8W 22.4N 118.2W 20.8N 118.6W BAMD 14.0N 121.3W 15.5N 122.5W 16.7N 124.3W 16.5N 127.8W BAMM 14.7N 122.7W 16.3N 124.3W 18.1N 126.8W 19.4N 130.0W LBAR 19.3N 118.2W 28.2N 113.6W 39.0N 103.2W 33.2N 105.4W SHIP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS DSHP 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS 0KTS ...INITIAL CONDITIONS... LATCUR = 14.0N LONCUR = 122.9W DIRCUR = 85DEG SPDCUR = 9KT LATM12 = 13.8N LONM12 = 124.9W DIRM12 = 83DEG SPDM12 = 8KT LATM24 = 13.3N LONM24 = 125.7W WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 25KT CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD = 180NM SDEPTH = S RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM $$ NNNN