000
WHXX01 KMIA 031847
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1847 UTC SAT OCT 3 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE INVEST (EP942015) 20151003 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151003  1800   151004  0600   151004  1800   151005  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    14.1N 123.1W   14.6N 122.3W   15.2N 120.8W   16.1N 119.3W
BAMD    14.1N 123.1W   13.3N 122.5W   12.9N 121.6W   13.0N 120.8W
BAMM    14.1N 123.1W   13.6N 122.7W   13.4N 122.1W   13.6N 121.8W
LBAR    14.1N 123.1W   14.2N 121.8W   15.1N 120.4W   17.1N 118.8W
SHIP        25KTS          23KTS          18KTS          16KTS
DSHP        25KTS          23KTS          18KTS          16KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151005  1800   151006  1800   151007  1800   151008  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    17.5N 118.4W   20.9N 117.8W   22.7N 117.3W   21.8N 117.3W
BAMD    13.4N 120.5W   14.8N 121.0W   16.5N 122.1W   17.1N 124.3W
BAMM    14.1N 121.8W   15.7N 122.7W   17.3N 124.8W   18.5N 128.0W
LBAR    20.4N 117.5W   30.6N 111.4W   84.6N 144.1W   32.7N 105.3W
SHIP        17KTS          20KTS          16KTS           0KTS
DSHP        17KTS          20KTS          16KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  14.1N LONCUR = 123.1W DIRCUR =  70DEG SPDCUR =   9KT
LATM12 =  13.7N LONM12 = 125.7W DIRM12 =  67DEG SPDM12 =   9KT
LATM24 =  13.2N LONM24 = 125.6W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =  100NM WNDM12 =   25KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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