000
WHXX01 KWBC 010859
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0859 UTC THU OCT 1 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE JOAQUIN (AL112015) 20151001 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151001  0600   151001  1800   151002  0600   151002  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    23.5N  73.5W   24.4N  74.0W   25.5N  74.9W   26.9N  76.2W
BAMD    23.5N  73.5W   23.0N  74.2W   23.1N  74.3W   24.1N  73.6W
BAMM    23.5N  73.5W   23.4N  74.2W   23.8N  74.5W   25.1N  74.5W
LBAR    23.5N  73.5W   23.4N  74.1W   24.0N  74.5W   25.1N  75.0W
SHIP       105KTS         108KTS         108KTS         110KTS
DSHP       105KTS         108KTS         108KTS         110KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151003  0600   151004  0600   151005  0600   151006  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    28.1N  77.6W   30.2N  78.1W   32.3N  77.2W   35.2N  71.0W
BAMD    25.9N  71.9W   31.6N  66.3W   36.6N  63.1W   40.8N  57.5W
BAMM    26.9N  74.1W   32.1N  73.2W   36.2N  75.1W   39.3N  71.4W
LBAR    26.3N  74.8W   28.3N  70.6W   30.4N  65.1W   33.5N  61.0W
SHIP       112KTS         101KTS          81KTS          51KTS
DSHP       112KTS         101KTS          68KTS          30KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  23.5N LONCUR =  73.5W DIRCUR = 230DEG SPDCUR =   5KT
LATM12 =  24.4N LONM12 =  72.8W DIRM12 = 215DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  25.5N LONM24 =  71.8W
WNDCUR =  105KT RMAXWD =   15NM WNDM12 =   80KT
CENPRS =  948MB OUTPRS = 1006MB OUTRAD =  300NM SDEPTH =   D
RD34NE =  100NM RD34SE =  120NM RD34SW =   80NM RD34NW =  80NM
 
$$
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