000
WHXX01 KMIA 010636
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0636 UTC THU OCT 1 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE MARTY (EP172015) 20151001 0600 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        151001  0600   151001  1800   151002  0600   151002  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    16.6N 104.0W   17.3N 105.5W   18.0N 107.3W   18.6N 108.9W
BAMD    16.6N 104.0W   17.9N 105.0W   19.0N 106.4W   20.3N 107.5W
BAMM    16.6N 104.0W   17.7N 105.5W   18.7N 107.2W   19.9N 108.8W
LBAR    16.6N 104.0W   17.0N 105.0W   17.1N 106.1W   16.9N 107.2W
SHIP        25KTS          20KTS          20KTS          21KTS
DSHP        25KTS          20KTS          20KTS          21KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        151003  0600   151004  0600   151005  0600   151006  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.0N 110.2W   20.4N 111.5W   23.2N 111.7W   27.6N 110.7W
BAMD    22.0N 108.2W   27.4N 107.2W   33.8N 102.6W   35.8N  91.4W
BAMM    21.1N 109.9W   23.6N 110.7W   27.1N 110.6W   33.1N 107.8W
LBAR    16.4N 108.1W   16.4N 109.2W   18.9N 109.5W   23.8N 109.1W
SHIP        21KTS          20KTS          19KTS          23KTS
DSHP        21KTS          20KTS          19KTS          23KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  16.6N LONCUR = 104.0W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR =   6KT
LATM12 =  16.3N LONM12 = 102.6W DIRM12 = 285DEG SPDM12 =   6KT
LATM24 =  16.2N LONM24 = 101.7W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   30NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1006MB OUTPRS = 1010MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   S
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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