000 WTNT80 EGRR 220418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 22.09.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E ANALYSED POSITION : 35.7N 113.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2015 35.7N 113.1W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM IDA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.6N 48.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2015 21.6N 48.7W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2015 21.7N 48.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2015 20.9N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2015 20.0N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2015 19.4N 47.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2015 19.5N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2015 20.0N 48.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2015 20.6N 49.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2015 20.8N 50.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2015 21.2N 51.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 27.09.2015 21.7N 51.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 27.09.2015 22.3N 51.8W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 28.09.2015 23.0N 52.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL STORM MALIA ANALYSED POSITION : 26.9N 172.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP052015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2015 26.9N 172.0W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2015 28.6N 172.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2015 31.3N 174.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 12.6N 134.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 22.09.2015 12.6N 134.7W WEAK 12UTC 22.09.2015 13.8N 134.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 23.09.2015 14.4N 133.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2015 14.2N 134.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 36.4N 61.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 22.09.2015 36.4N 61.4W WEAK 00UTC 23.09.2015 36.1N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 23.09.2015 36.0N 60.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 24.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 32.1N 75.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 23.09.2015 31.8N 75.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 24.09.2015 31.9N 76.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 24.09.2015 31.7N 78.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2015 32.0N 79.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2015 32.7N 79.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2015 33.3N 80.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.0N 144.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 24.09.2015 13.6N 144.5W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 24.09.2015 15.0N 144.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 25.09.2015 16.3N 144.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 25.09.2015 17.3N 145.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 26.09.2015 18.0N 145.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 26.09.2015 18.2N 145.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 27.09.2015 18.1N 146.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 27.09.2015 17.6N 146.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2015 16.8N 147.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 13.9N 98.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 27.09.2015 14.5N 98.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 28.09.2015 15.0N 97.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 13.2N 130.3W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 28.09.2015 13.2N 130.3W WEAK THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 220417