000
WHXX01 KMIA 211807
CHGE77
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1807 UTC MON SEP 21 2015
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
EAST PACIFIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
DISTURBANCE SIXTEEN (EP162015) 20150921 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS...   ...36 HRS...
        150921  1800   150922  0600   150922  1800   150923  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    30.1N 111.9W   31.4N 111.5W   32.1N 111.0W   32.7N 110.5W
BAMD    30.1N 111.9W   33.3N 110.2W   36.0N 107.1W   38.3N 103.4W
BAMM    30.1N 111.9W   32.4N 110.9W   34.2N 109.7W   35.9N 108.3W
LBAR    30.1N 111.9W   32.6N 110.2W   34.8N 108.2W   36.2N 105.6W
SHIP        25KTS          22KTS          25KTS          23KTS
DSHP        25KTS          26KTS          27KTS          27KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS...   ..120 HRS...
        150923  1800   150924  1800   150925  1800   150926  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    33.2N 110.3W   33.6N 111.4W   35.1N 113.4W   37.8N 112.7W
BAMD    40.2N 100.0W   42.4N  96.2W   42.0N  95.1W   41.1N  95.1W
BAMM    37.1N 106.8W   36.9N 105.0W   35.9N 105.8W   35.4N 106.1W
LBAR    36.9N 103.2W   37.0N 101.4W   37.1N 103.6W   37.0N 106.7W
SHIP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
DSHP         0KTS           0KTS           0KTS           0KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  30.1N LONCUR = 111.9W DIRCUR =  20DEG SPDCUR =  16KT
LATM12 =  26.9N LONM12 = 113.0W DIRM12 =  19DEG SPDM12 =  16KT
LATM24 =  24.3N LONM24 = 113.7W
WNDCUR =   25KT RMAXWD =   80NM WNDM12 =   30KT
CENPRS = 1005MB OUTPRS = 1007MB OUTRAD =  180NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =    0NM RD34SE =    0NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =   0NM
 
$$
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