000
WTNT80 EGRR 211618

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 21.09.2015

        TROPICAL STORM IDA        ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N  47.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.09.2015  20.3N  47.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.09.2015  21.3N  48.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2015  21.2N  47.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2015  20.5N  47.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 23.09.2015  20.0N  46.6W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2015  19.8N  45.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2015  20.3N  45.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2015  21.1N  44.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2015  21.7N  45.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2015  22.5N  45.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2015  23.1N  46.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 27.09.2015  24.2N  46.2W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2015  25.3N  45.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

        TROPICAL STORM MALIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 24.8N 171.2W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP052015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.09.2015  24.8N 171.2W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.09.2015  26.0N 172.7W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 22.09.2015  27.1N 172.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 23.09.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 16E        ANALYSED POSITION : 29.2N 111.8W

     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162015

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 21.09.2015  29.2N 111.8W     WEAK
 00UTC 22.09.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.3N 144.7W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 00UTC 23.09.2015  12.3N 144.7W     WEAK
 12UTC 23.09.2015  13.0N 145.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 24.09.2015  13.7N 145.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 24.09.2015  15.0N 145.1W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 25.09.2015  16.2N 144.9W   MODERATE  INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
 12UTC 25.09.2015  17.6N 144.8W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2015  18.8N 145.0W   MODERATE      LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 26.09.2015  19.5N 145.1W   MODERATE   WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 27.09.2015  20.4N 144.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 27.09.2015  21.3N 144.6W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 30.8N  79.5W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 24.09.2015  30.8N  79.5W     WEAK
 00UTC 25.09.2015  31.5N  79.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 25.09.2015  32.5N  79.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 26.09.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 211618