000
WTNT80 EGRR 121617

 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

 AND ATLANTIC

             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 12.09.2015

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  42 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 11.0N  41.4W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 14.09.2015  11.9N  42.5W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 15.09.2015  11.1N  45.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 15.09.2015  12.0N  47.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 16.09.2015  12.8N  48.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 16.09.2015  13.6N  49.3W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 17.09.2015  14.5N  50.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2015  15.4N  51.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2015  16.4N  52.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2015  17.4N  52.8W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  90 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.6N  32.9W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2015  12.0N  33.9W     WEAK     WEAKENING SLIGHTLY
 00UTC 17.09.2015  12.3N  35.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2015  13.3N  37.5W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2015  14.4N  38.1W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2015  15.3N  38.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE

             NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  96 HOURS
                   FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 96 : 19.5N 112.6W

  VERIFYING TIME     POSITION     STRENGTH        TENDENCY
  --------------     --------     --------        --------
 12UTC 16.09.2015  19.5N 112.6W     WEAK
 00UTC 17.09.2015  20.9N 113.2W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 17.09.2015  22.5N 113.9W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 00UTC 18.09.2015  23.2N 113.4W     WEAK        LITTLE CHANGE
 12UTC 18.09.2015        BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH


 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

 BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
 ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
 FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

 TOO 121617