000 WTNT80 EGRR 091618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 09.09.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N 60.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2015 30.5N 60.6W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2015 31.2N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 32.4N 61.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 35.2N 61.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 38.2N 60.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2015 41.5N 59.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.09.2015 45.6N 54.9W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.09.2015 48.3N 48.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 13.09.2015 49.2N 40.1W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 14.09.2015 48.1N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2015 47.0N 23.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2015 47.2N 17.4W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 15.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.7N 48.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2015 14.7N 48.1W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2015 15.5N 51.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 15.7N 54.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL DEPRESSION JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 25.3N 155.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2015 25.3N 155.2W WEAK 00UTC 10.09.2015 24.7N 156.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 24.2N 158.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 24.6N 160.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 24.5N 161.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2015 24.8N 162.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2015 25.9N 163.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2015 28.9N 164.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LINDA ANALYSED POSITION : 23.3N 116.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 09.09.2015 23.3N 116.2W MODERATE 00UTC 10.09.2015 24.8N 117.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 25.7N 118.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 26.5N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 26.9N 120.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2015 27.3N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2015 27.5N 121.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2015 27.8N 122.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2015 27.3N 122.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 40.0N 77.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 13.09.2015 40.7N 76.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 14.09.2015 43.9N 77.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2015 44.3N 76.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2015 49.6N 72.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.5N 38.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 14.09.2015 11.5N 38.7W WEAK 00UTC 15.09.2015 11.2N 42.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 15.09.2015 11.3N 45.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 091618