000 WTNT80 EGRR 090418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 09.09.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GRACE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 45.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2015 14.4N 45.2W WEAK 12UTC 09.09.2015 14.7N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 14.9N 51.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 15.3N 54.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 15.8N 57.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 15.7N 60.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2015 16.4N 62.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2015 16.3N 64.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 25.8N 153.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2015 25.8N 153.3W MODERATE 12UTC 09.09.2015 25.3N 155.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 10.09.2015 24.8N 156.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 24.5N 158.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 24.8N 160.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 24.8N 161.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2015 25.1N 162.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2015 26.2N 163.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LINDA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.2N 115.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2015 22.2N 115.4W MODERATE 12UTC 09.09.2015 23.2N 116.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 24.7N 117.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 25.5N 118.1W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 11.09.2015 25.9N 118.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 26.1N 119.3W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.09.2015 26.4N 120.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2015 26.7N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2015 27.2N 121.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2015 27.2N 120.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2015 27.4N 120.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 30.7N 61.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 09.09.2015 30.7N 61.4W WEAK 12UTC 09.09.2015 30.8N 61.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 31.3N 61.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 32.4N 61.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 34.9N 61.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 37.2N 60.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.09.2015 40.6N 59.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.09.2015 44.5N 55.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.09.2015 48.2N 48.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.09.2015 49.3N 38.4W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 14.09.2015 49.0N 28.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 14.09.2015 49.5N 19.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 15.09.2015 50.6N 15.3W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 10.9N 40.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2015 10.7N 41.4W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 12.6N 98.4W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 15.09.2015 13.5N 99.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090418