000 WTNT80 EGRR 051618 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 05.09.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 07L ANALYSED POSITION : 12.3N 24.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2015 12.3N 24.9W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2015 13.0N 27.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 13.2N 30.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 13.7N 33.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 14.4N 35.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 15.0N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 16.0N 42.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2015 16.6N 45.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2015 17.3N 48.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 18.0N 50.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 18.4N 52.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 19.2N 53.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 20.1N 55.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE TROPICAL STORM FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 23.2N 41.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2015 23.2N 41.4W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2015 23.6N 42.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 24.5N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 25.5N 43.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 27.0N 41.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 29.1N 40.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 31.0N 39.7W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2015 32.6N 38.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2015 33.6N 35.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 34.2N 31.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 34.1N 27.5W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 33.1N 24.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2015 32.0N 22.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.0N 146.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2015 21.0N 146.5W STRONG 00UTC 06.09.2015 22.0N 147.4W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2015 23.1N 148.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 24.0N 149.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 24.7N 151.5W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2015 25.2N 153.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2015 25.6N 155.6W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2015 25.9N 157.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2015 26.4N 159.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 26.7N 160.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 27.2N 160.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 27.8N 161.1W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.09.2015 28.2N 162.2W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEVIN ANALYSED POSITION : 23.0N 115.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 05.09.2015 23.0N 115.1W WEAK 00UTC 06.09.2015 23.9N 115.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 24.2N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 35.8N 43.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.09.2015 36.9N 42.0W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 37.7N 38.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 43.0N 29.0W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2015 49.7N 25.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 12UTC 08.09.2015 54.4N 25.1W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2015 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 16.1N 110.1W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 07.09.2015 16.1N 110.1W WEAK 12UTC 07.09.2015 17.3N 112.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 19.3N 113.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 20.6N 115.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2015 22.0N 116.8W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.09.2015 23.2N 117.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.09.2015 24.2N 118.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.09.2015 24.7N 119.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.09.2015 24.8N 119.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.09.2015 24.7N 120.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051618