000 WTNT80 EGRR 030418 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 00UTC 03.09.2015 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 14E ANALYSED POSITION : 16.7N 115.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2015 16.7N 115.1W WEAK 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.4N 114.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.0N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 20.3N 114.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 20.8N 113.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 21.7N 114.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 22.4N 114.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM FRED ANALYSED POSITION : 20.3N 32.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL062015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2015 20.3N 32.2W WEAK 12UTC 03.09.2015 21.1N 34.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 21.7N 35.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 22.0N 37.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 22.2N 38.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 22.7N 40.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 23.3N 41.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 24.1N 42.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 25.4N 41.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 26.7N 41.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 28.3N 40.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 30.3N 39.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2015 32.3N 38.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE IGNACIO ANALYSED POSITION : 27.0N 159.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP122015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2015 27.0N 159.0W STRONG 12UTC 03.09.2015 28.0N 161.6W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 04.09.2015 29.1N 163.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 30.8N 163.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 33.6N 163.8W STRONG INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 05.09.2015 37.0N 164.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 40.0N 164.8W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 06.09.2015 42.3N 165.0W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 07.09.2015 44.9N 162.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.09.2015 48.2N 157.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 50.9N 150.7W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2015 52.2N 142.5W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2015 54.1N 134.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE HURRICANE JIMENA ANALYSED POSITION : 18.1N 143.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132015 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 03.09.2015 18.1N 143.3W STRONG 12UTC 03.09.2015 18.8N 143.9W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 04.09.2015 19.4N 144.4W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 04.09.2015 19.8N 144.6W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 05.09.2015 20.3N 144.8W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 05.09.2015 21.1N 145.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 06.09.2015 22.5N 146.0W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 06.09.2015 23.8N 147.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 24.5N 148.3W STRONG LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 25.2N 149.3W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 08.09.2015 25.7N 150.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.09.2015 25.6N 152.8W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2015 25.4N 154.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.9N 26.9W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 00UTC 06.09.2015 12.9N 26.9W WEAK 12UTC 06.09.2015 13.5N 29.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 07.09.2015 14.7N 31.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.09.2015 15.8N 34.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.09.2015 16.8N 37.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 17.5N 39.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2015 18.3N 42.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 35.5N 38.5W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 07.09.2015 36.7N 36.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.09.2015 36.1N 34.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.09.2015 36.5N 31.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.09.2015 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 20.8N 115.7W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.09.2015 21.6N 116.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.09.2015 22.6N 117.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 030417